Labour Force Projections in India Until 2060 and Implications for the Demographic Dividend

Abstract While India is entering the period of demographic dividend, female labour participation rates remain very low. This paper aims to provide first force projections for and its regions up year 2060. Projections are achieved using a discrete-time microsimulation model in which changes population size composition come from interaction between characteristics, educational attainment, secular tendencies. Labour estimated at individual level personal characteristics as predictors. Results show that under constant rates, dependency ratio (non-workers/workers) unlikely attain favourable levels, compromises potential dividend country could gain age-structure. At subnational level, forecast yields most 2060 combine both low-age higher women. moreover suggest better driver than age composition.